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El mundo en 20 años, un artículo que recordarás las próximas dos décadas

El destino no está alcanzando, el mundo en 20 años, ¡Facinante!

 

Carlos Alberto Becerril / GM5

En el año de 1952, la revista Selecciones , publico un artículo sobre la llegada de la televisión, se llamaba ¿Llega ya la televisión? y anunciaba la popularización de la TV entre la población mundial. Si bien ya existía la televisión, aún era desconocida para la mayoría de la gente. Treinta años despues, la misma revista anunciaba la llega del internet. El artículo se llamo, «Llega la super carretera de la información» y anunciaba muy palidamente lo que ahora es el internet.

Hoy un nuevo material circula por la red, es un discurso atribuido a el CEO de Daimler Benz (Mercedes Benz) en donde anuncia, no sólo algunos adelantos, sino como será el mundo en 20 años y sus impliciones para el quehacer profesional del ser humano en 20 años.

En atención a su interés público, reproducimos dicho material:

 

*EL DESTINO NOS ESTÁ ALCANZANDO…

En una entrevista reciente el CEO de Daimler Benz (Mercedes Benz) dijo que sus competidores ya no son otras compañías de automóviles, sino Tesla (obvio), Google, Apple y Amazon.

El software interrumpirá la mayoría de las industrias tradicionales en los próximos 5-10 años.

Uber es sólo una herramienta de software, no poseen coches, y ahora son la compañía de taxis más grande del mundo

Airbnb es ahora la mayor empresa hotelera del mundo, aunque no poseen propiedades.

Inteligencia Artificial: Las computadoras se vuelven exponencialmente mejores en la comprensión del mundo. Este año, un equipo superó al mejor jugador de Go en el mundo, 10 años antes de lo esperado.

En Estados Unidos, los jóvenes abogados ya no obtienen empleo. Debido a IBM Watson, puede obtener asesoramiento jurídico (hasta ahora para cosas más o menos básicas) en cuestión de segundos, con una precisión del 90% en comparación con el 70% de precisión cuando lo hacen los seres humanos.

Así que si usted estudia derecho, pare inmediatamente. En el futuro habrá un 90% menos de abogados, sólo quedarán especialistas.

Watson ya ayuda a las enfermeras diagnosticar cáncer, 4 veces más preciso que las enfermeras humanas. Facebook ahora tiene un software de reconocimiento de patrones que puede reconocer caras mejor que los seres humanos. En 2030, las computadoras serán más inteligentes que los humanos.

Automóviles autónomos: En 2018 aparecerán los primeros coches autodistribuidos para el público. Alrededor de 2020, la industria completa comenzará a ser interrumpida. Ya no quieres tener un coche. Llamará a un coche con su teléfono, se mostrará en su ubicación y le llevará a su destino. No necesitará estacionarlo, solo pagará por la distancia recorrida y podrá ser productivo mientras conduce. Nuestros niños nunca obtendrán una licencia de conducir y nunca poseerán un coche.

Va a cambiar las ciudades, porque vamos a necesitar 90-95% menos coches para eso. Podemos transformar las antiguas plazas de aparcamiento en parques. 1.2 millones de personas mueren cada año en accidentes automovilísticos en todo el mundo. Ahora tenemos un accidente cada 100.000 kilómetros, con una conducción autónoma que caerá a un accidente en 10 millones de kilómetros. Eso ahorrará un millón de vidas cada año.

La mayoría de las empresas de automóviles probablemente se irán a la quiebra. Las empresas de automóviles tradicionales intentan el enfoque evolutivo y simplemente construyen un coche mejor, mientras que las compañías de tecnología (Tesla, Apple, Google) harán el enfoque revolucionario y construirán una computadora sobre ruedas.

Muchos ingenieros de Volkswagen y Audi; Están completamente aterrorizados de Tesla.

Las compañías de seguros tendrán problemas masivos porque sin accidentes, el seguro será 100x más barato. Su modelo de negocio de seguros de automóviles desaparecerá.

Los bienes raíces cambiarán. Porque si usted puede trabajar mientras que usted conmuta (va en auto autónomo), la gente se moverá más lejos para vivir en un vecindario más hermoso.

Los coches eléctricos se convertirá en corriente hacia el 2020. Las ciudades serán menos ruidosas porque todos los coches nuevos funcionarán con electricidad. La electricidad se volverá increíblemente barata y limpia: la producción solar ha estado en una curva exponencial durante 30 años, pero ahora se puede ver el impacto floreciente.

El año pasado, más energía solar fue instalada en todo el mundo que fósiles. Las compañías de energía están tratando desesperadamente de limitar el acceso a la red eléctrica para evitar la competencia de las instalaciones solares domésticas (en techos de casas), pero eso no puede durar. La tecnología se encargará de esa estrategia.

Con la electricidad barata viene el agua barata y abundante. La desalinización de agua salada ahora sólo necesita 2kWh por metro cúbico (@ 0,25 centavos). No tenemos agua escasa en la mayoría de los lugares, sólo tenemos agua potable escasa. Imagínese lo que será posible si alguien puede tener tanta agua limpia como quiera, casi sin costo alguno.

Salud: El precio de Tricorder X será anunciado este año. Hay compañías que construirán un dispositivo médico (llamado «Tricorder» de Star Trek) que funciona con su teléfono, lo que le llevará a la gammagrafía de la retina, podré hacer muestras de sangre y analizar respiración y aliento

Luego analiza 54 biomarcadores que identificarán casi cualquier enfermedad. Será barato, así que en pocos años todos en este planeta tendrán acceso al análisis médico de clase mundial, casi gratis. Adiós, establecimiento médico.

Impresión 3D: El precio de la impresora 3D más barata bajó de $ 18.000 USD a $ 400 USD en 10 años. Al mismo tiempo, se convirtió en 100 veces más rápido. Todas las grandes empresas de calzado ya han comenzado los zapatos de impresión en 3D.

Algunas piezas de avión de repuesto ya están impresas en 3D en aeropuertos remotos. La estación espacial ahora tiene una impresora 3D que elimina la necesidad de la gran cantidad de piezas de repuesto que solían tener en el pasado.

A finales de este año, los nuevos teléfonos inteligentes tendrán posibilidades de escaneo en 3D. A continuación, puede escanear en 3D sus pies e imprimir su zapato perfecto en casa.

En China, ya han impreso en 3D y construido un edificio de oficinas completo de 6 pisos. Para 2027, el 10% de todo lo que se está produciendo será impreso en 3D.

Oportunidades de negocio: Si piensa en un nicho en el que desea ir, pregúntese: «en el futuro, ¿crees que tendremos eso?» Y si la respuesta es sí, ¿cómo puede hacer que eso suceda antes?

Si no funciona con su teléfono, olvídese de la idea. Y cualquier idea diseñada para el éxito en el siglo XX está condenada al fracaso en el siglo XXI.

Trabajo: 70-80% de los empleos desaparecerán en los próximos 20 años. Habrá un montón de nuevos puestos de trabajo, pero no está claro si habrá suficientes nuevos puestos de trabajo en tan poco tiempo.

Agricultura: Habrá un robot agrícola de $ 100 USD en el futuro. Los agricultores de los países del tercer mundo pueden entonces convertirse en administradores de su campo en lugar de trabajar todo el día en sus campos.

Aeroponics necesitará mucho menos agua. El primer plato Petri ha producido ternera, ahora está disponible y será más barato que la vaca producida ternera en 2018. En este momento, el 30% de todas las superficies agrícolas se utiliza para las vacas. Imagínese si ya no necesitamos ese espacio. Hay varios startups que traerán la proteína del insecto al mercado pronto. Contiene más proteínas que la carne. Se etiquetará como «fuente de proteína alternativa» (porque la mayoría de la gente todavía rechaza la idea de comer insectos).

Hay una aplicación llamada «moodies», que ya puede decir en qué estado de ánimo de cada persona. En el año 2020 habrá aplicaciones que pueden decir por sus expresiones faciales, si usted está mintiendo. Imagine un debate político donde se muestra cuando dicen la verdad y cuando no.

Bitcoin puede incluso convertirse en la moneda de reserva por defecto … Del mundo!

Longevidad: En este momento, la vida promedio aumenta en 3 meses por año. Hace cuatro años, la esperanza de vida solía ser 79 años, ahora son 80 años. El aumento en sí mismo está aumentando y para 2036, habrá más de un año de aumento por año. Así que todos podemos vivir durante mucho tiempo, probablemente más de 100.

Educación: Los teléfonos inteligentes más baratos ya están a $ 10 USD en África y Asia. Para 2020, el 70% de todos los humanos poseerán un teléfono inteligente. Esto significa que todos tienen el mismo acceso a la educación vía web de clase mundial.

Cada niño puede usar la academia Khan para todo lo que un niño necesita aprender en la escuela en los países del Primer Mundo. Ya hay versiones de software en Indonesia y pronto habrá lanzamientos en árabe, Suaheli y chino este verano. Puedo ver un enorme potencial si damos la aplicación de Inglés de forma gratuita, para que los niños en África y en todas partes puede llegar a ser fluido en Inglés y que podría suceder dentro de medio año.

 

RevistaGM5
Pagina libre al pensamiento
http://www.gm5.com.mx

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  264. Travelling is supposed to be described as a soothing vacation, but without the proper preparation, traveling could make you a lot more anxious than your regular day to day life. This article has easy to understand tips about how to make any kind of touring fun, simple and stress free. Prepare yourself before leaving, by reading this advice. In case you are travelling internationally and even to a part of the country you’ve never visited well before, it’s a smart idea to allow your banking institution and credit card company know. A lot of bank cards have scam security, that may block transactions that this business isn’t certain the credit card holder approved. Visiting far from property is a virtually certain method to getaway these detectors. When you are travelling abroad, you might want to seek advice from any adverse health practitioner as to what shots are encouraged. Distinct places of the world have diverse conditions so you constantly wish to be ready for what you will be strolling into. There are many shots around that will make you stay harmless. When contemplating vacation insurance policy for the upcoming vacation, make sure to have numerous inquiries and anticipated answers prepared for the provider. Maintain great information when comparing rates. Ask this kind of things like how settlement would be highly processed for reimbursements, and in case you will find any problems that would nullify the contract. Throughout your journey if you’re staying in a number of hotels, you can be sure it comes with an simple and affordable present it is possible to give your pals as being a memento. Gather all the tiny examples like shampoos, entire body washes, body creams and gourmet coffee packets that lodges give out, place them in a basket and provide them as gift items in your close friends. It will make a good gift idea since it provides a taste of traditions from various lodges and is economical to you to make an amiable gesture. Keep every item you will require in just one case while this may appear out of the question, it might be carried out should you be very careful in regards to what you include. Preparing lightly signifies there are much less things for you personally to keep up with, and worry about, when you are experiencing your vacation. People who traveling for a living discover to employ a great deal of small guidelines, much like the kinds above, to make sure each of their outings are simple, pleasant experience, regardless of whether they’re making property for any day time or possibly a four weeks. With these specialized tips, you’re on the right path to becoming an skilled traveler, too.

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  270. A getaway will not be a great deal of holiday before you move out the entrance and come to your destination. The packaging and also the vacation can be extremely challenging and result in the necessity for a vacation for your household. The following tips had been published that will help you from the stress filled phases of holiday preparation. If you rest inside an aisle seating, you’ll have more alternatives. Aside from the look at, windows chairs don’t have several benefits. An aisle chair provides you with better access to the baggage safe-keeping, bath rooms, airline staff members, as well as keep you from being squeezed on both edges. Don’t overlook to search up the time zones for in which you will certainly be going to and keeping. Many people don’t understand that you will find a significant time distinction that can not just be a factor inside your sleeping schedule, and also inside your connection efforts to people nonetheless in your own home. Get to the international airport early on to obtain a very good seating choice. Most airlines disregard seating alternatives made when choosing your admission. Once you get for the kitchen counter to check on-in for your flight it is possible to request the seat you want without excessive headache. This too really helps to be seated alongside people you will be traveling with. Remote control places are frequently among the most intriguing of achievable travel destinations. Just make sure you are taking requirements like your doctor prescribed medicines with you. One way of checking out it is that if some thing isn’t available what your location is then you probably didn’t require it anyways! Things like medicines, however, can be indispensable so don’t keep getting them to probability. After you have identified a real estate agent along with an insurance policies you happen to be happy with you are going to pay your top quality and you must acquire your published insurance policy. Acquiring your high quality notifys you that the insurance agent has forwarded your insurance superior details to the insurance company. Should you don’t receive your plan within a pair several weeks, get hold of your professional. With a little luck you possess located the following tips to get equally helpful and anxiety treating. If you take them and implement those to the planning of the getaway, you are likely to can get to your destination with a lot less anxiety than you would probably in the event you did not have the valuable info which you acquired here.

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  279. The concept of travelling evokes numerous thoughts in men and women. Be it for organization or satisfaction, there is generally some level of pressure involved. Don’t permit tension reach you and stop you from enjoying your journey. See the tips in this post for a harmless getaway filled with enjoyable. Produce a summary of what you should pack. As soon as you know you’ll be vacationing, start off a long list of almost everything you have got to package. Even eleventh hour preparing won’t be as stress filled, once you have a listing to reference point. It will also use the anxiety out of failing to remember anything. In case you are traveling and planning to wash laundry washing within your accommodation, put in place your drying out collection a place with an excellent breeze, if possible in front of a follower. In places with very high dampness, your laundry washing is not going to dried out rapidly ample to prevent making a scent unless additionally there is air flow activity. Possessing earplugs convenient while traveling can save your rest and sanity! Whether it be in the aircraft or maybe in your hotel room, using earplugs will assist you to close out no less than 50 percent of your sounds that gives you a head ache, stop you from resting, or otherwise emphasize journey in a negative way. Also, they are really cheap so deliver a lot. If you plan on flying with young children, ensure that you cease frequently on the way there and back again. Clarify them in specifics your location proceeding, and just how long it will take to look there. Make some activities to ensure they are active in the trip, like shading publications. It will be smart to pack a compact case of goldfish or bring a little toy coming from a fastfood cafe on a flight along. Even if you don’t have kids, there can be some desperate mother or father that might be so happy to you to your gift idea. As included in the following paragraphs, there are numerous stuff that you can do to help make vacationing a satisfying practical experience. You can start setting up a list to plan for your personal holiday right away!

  280. Today, I went to the beachfront with my kids. I found a sea shell and gave it to my 4 year old daughter and said «You can hear the ocean if you put this to your ear.» She put the shell to her ear and screamed. There was a hermit crab inside and it pinched her ear. She never wants to go back! LoL I know this is totally off topic but I had to tell someone!|

  281. Vacationing is an thrilling and fulfilling venture. One of several benefits of touring is the development of fond thoughts of your trip. Nonetheless, as touring can be full of a lot of unknown factors, the process efficiently, requires a small preparation and foresight. This article contains several ideas which can help keep your journey is actually a accomplishment. Ask family and friends for ideas on spots you should visit when attempting to plan your following getaway. In many cases they are going to not simply have the ability to give you very good suggestions for locations that you need to go, they may also steer you far from places where they didn’t have such a great time. When you are traveling with a associate but you do not usually discuss cash, consider possessing a joint wallet, for bills like food, traveling and accommodations. Both you and your companion can add the equivalent amount of money towards the joints wallet each day. By doing this, you aren’t continuously splitting charges or swapping money. If you’re going on a streets getaway with little ones, try taking some dessert bedding along. They’re great to use as lap containers for consuming in a car. The having the corners curved up with protect against any spillages also and they’re an easy task to clean away quickly. You can also change them more than along with the kids can make use of them as tables for color, composing, or actively playing a game title. Always be kind, and suggestion your bell waiter and housekeeper everyday. This will make your remain much more pleasant. You need to give about a money every case and 2 to 5 $ $ $ $ every day of house cleaning. This will help make certain you keep a excellent connection in your remain. The very next time you must traveling a place, be it a quick local journey with your family, an organization journey or perhaps a long distance quest overseas, consider referring straight back to the tips in this article. By utilising some of the ideas and suggestions pointed out, your visiting experience could possibly be less expensive, less difficult and less dangerous.

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